A dangerous escalation: India-Pakistan tensions and the global cost of war

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The growing hostilities between India-Pakistan, triggered by the recent terrorist attack in Pahalgam, have once again brought South Asia to the edge of catastrophe. With military rhetoric replacing diplomacy and social media turning into a battleground of memes rather than meaningful dialogue, the spectre of war is no longer hypothetical – it is an urgent threat. While warmongering voices grow louder, the real cost of escalation – regional devastation, international instability, and irreversible human suffering – remains dangerously underestimated.
If a military conflict between India and Pakistan escalates, the first and most direct impact will be on the people of both nations. Civilians in border regions will face immediate threats to life, infrastructure will crumble under airstrikes and shelling, and economic stability will shatter. Beyond the missiles and the military manoeuvres, the war will hit hospitals, schools, markets, and homes – especially in Pakistan, whose fragile economy is already reeling under inflation, political instability, and the burden of international debt.
Internationally, a war in South Asia, a region home to nearly 1.8 billion people and two nuclear powers, will send shockwaves across the globe. Energy markets will be rattled, with oil prices potentially surging due to regional uncertainty. Trade routes will be disrupted, especially those linked to China’s Belt and Road Initiative, which runs through Pakistan. The U.S., China, Russia, and the Gulf states – all with strategic stakes in South Asia – will be forced to recalibrate their foreign policies. A protracted conflict could even draw in major powers diplomatically or militarily, complicating already delicate global alliances, especially with ongoing crises in Gaza and Ukraine.
In this chaos, some argue that Pakistan could leverage the global attention to highlight its long-standing position on Kashmir, drawing sympathy from human rights organisations and some Muslim-majority nations. Internationalising the Kashmir dispute could pressure India diplomatically. Furthermore, Pakistan’s resilience under fire might help galvanise internal unity and allow its military to project strength domestically.
However, this is a dangerous gamble. Pakistan faces significant challenges. Economically, war would derail any chances of recovery. Investor confidence would plummet, inflation would soar, and the rupee would collapse further. Educational institutions would likely close as resources are diverted to defence. Cross-border student exchanges, research, and even digital learning collaborations could halt. Worst of all, social media – already flooded with ignorant memes and nationalistic taunts – reveals a heartbreaking reality: many in both nations are too underinformed to comprehend the scale of the crisis.
The current “meme war” being waged by Indian and Pakistani youth on platforms like Instagram and X (formerly Twitter) is perhaps the most tragic aspect of this entire episode. While troops are being deployed, diplomatic channels are frozen, and threats of nuclear retaliation are being casually thrown around, ordinary citizens, many of them young and ill-informed, are treating it like a cricket rivalry. The disconnect between escalating real-world danger and online jest is not just disappointing; it’s dangerous. It reflects a deep failure in both countries’ education systems, civic awareness, and critical media literacy.
Education is one of the first casualties of conflict. In war zones, schools close indefinitely. Teachers flee, children are displaced, and entire generations are left traumatised and uneducated. In both India and Pakistan, where millions of children are already out of school, this would be an irreparable loss. For Pakistan especially, where public education is already underfunded, another war could cripple efforts to rebuild the sector for decades. Moreover, educational narratives will likely become even more nationalistic, with history books rewritten to reflect wartime propaganda rather than truth.
Saner voices on both sides of the border must push back against the madness. Civil society, educators, and peace advocates must demand that governments return to dialogue, no matter how difficult. This is not the time for bombast or brinkmanship. This is the time to remember that war is not a video game, a meme, or a score to settle – it is a destroyer of futures.
We must educate our youth, not indoctrinate them, to prevent a disastrous future. We must teach them the cost of war, not just the glory of military uniforms. And we must remember that even the most powerful nations have lost more in war than they have ever gained. The world must intervene, not with weapons but with diplomacy, to pull India and Pakistan back from the brink – before it’s too late.