Brink of crisis: US-Iran strikes raise global alarm

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Mukhtar Ahmed Butt
Mukhtar Ahmed Butt : The writer is freelance journalist and defence analyst.
As anticipated President Donald Trump warned Iran in his recent threat that it must reach a final deal or the US will “finish the job,” threatening to destroy Iran’s power plants, energy supply, and bridges in one hour. Trump’s latest threat reflects that US wants to thrust their demands on Iran. On the other hand, Iran’s response is equally very strong and has clearly stated no to Trump and ready to face consequences. In a latest move the United States has barred new sales of Iranian oil. The U.S. Treasury Department revoked a brief sanctions waiver on July 7, 2026, following Iranian strikes on commercial tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, requiring existing transactions to be completely wound. The world knows that Trump is unpredictable and can take U turn as per his requirement. It looks these 60 days are primarily to tighten their defensive capabilities and reinforce vulnerabilities.
The situation is changing rapidly, with tensions escalating to an alarming level. U.S. President Donald Trump appears increasingly frustrated, a sentiment reflected in the recent strikes violating terms of MOU and attacked Iran. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) claimed having struck Iranian coastal radar systems, fast boats, and air defense systems following attacks on three oil and gas tankers Iran and indications of a possible repeat of such actions. In a major escalation, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) launched retaliatory strikes against U.S. military installations in Bahrain and Kuwait on July 8, 2026. These strikes followed a massive wave of U.S. military attacks on over 80 Iranian targets in response to vessel attacks in the Strait of Hormuz tearing apart Islamabad MOU. In response, Iran has demonstrated its own resolve by targeting U.S. interests in Bahrain and Kuwait, marking a significant and dangerous escalation. This growing confrontation between the two sides is a serious cause for concern. If allowed to continue unchecked, it could spiral into a prolonged conflict with far-reaching consequences. Both nations must exercise restraint and avoid extreme measures, as sustained hostilities would not only destabilize the region but also severely disrupt the global economy, affecting energy markets, trade routes, and overall economic stability world.
At this critical juncture, diplomacy remains the only viable path forward. Immediate efforts are needed to de-escalate tensions and prevent further deterioration of an already fragile situation. People have raised questions about the role of China and Russia. China and Russia are staying silent on Iran, but for different reasons shaped by their own strategic interests and constraints. China is focused on protecting energy supplies, trade routes, and its broader economic relationship with the Middle East. Beijing may sympathize with Tehran and oppose U.S. pressure, but it is reluctant to jeopardize market stability or expose itself to sanctions and disruption. Its caution reflects a preference for preserving commercial access and avoiding a confrontation that could damage its global economic position. Russia’s motives are more geopolitical. Moscow has often used its ties with Iran to complicate U.S. policy and expand its influence in the region, but it is also constrained by its own standoff with the West. With limited room to absorb another direct clash with Washington, Russia is unlikely to take a public position that could deepen its isolation or distract from its existing conflicts. Its silence reflects both tactical calculation and the limits of its leverage. For both countries, silence should not be read as indifference to Iran, but as a deliberate choice to avoid costs they are unwilling to bear.
Neither Beijing nor Moscow wants to be pulled into a crisis that could escalate into a wider conflict or disrupt global markets. Both may believe that public confrontation with the United States would bring limited benefit and greater risk, which is why they often prefer diplomatic language, behind-the-scenes engagement, and calls for restraint instead of open criticism of Washington. However, this approach also raises concern. For Iran, the absence of a firm public stand from its partners can feel like abandonment at a critical moment. For the wider region, it suggests that even countries sympathetic to Tehran are unwilling to challenge U.S. pressure directly. In the end, China and Russia are not staying quiet because they lack a view on Iran, but because each is weighing its own interests, risks, and constraints. Their position reflects the limits of their support for Iran and shows that, when faced with direct U.S. confrontation, both prefer caution over confrontation.