China corridor and Pakistan’s economy: Between hope and apprehension

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Global politics today stands at a crossroads where the standard of progress is no longer defined solely by military power. Instead, economic connectivity, infrastructure, and trade corridors have assumed decisive importance. China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a major example of this global shift, and for Pakistan its most significant manifestation is the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The key question is: are BRI and CPEC a path to economic salvation for Pakistan, or merely another burden of debt?
The objective of the Belt and Road Initiative is to connect Asia, Africa, and Europe through roads, ports, railway networks, and energy projects. China maintains that this initiative is meant to promote shared development and regional stability. For a developing country like Pakistan, this came as an unexpected opportunity, because for decades our infrastructure had been neglected, the energy crisis had crippled the economy, and global investment was already reluctant to come to Pakistan.
After the launch of CPEC, several power projects were completed in Pakistan, a network of motorways and roads was laid, and Gwadar Port emerged on the global map. It cannot be denied that CPEC played a significant role in helping Pakistan overcome its energy crisis. Industries received electricity, employment opportunities were created, and business activity accelerated. These are benefits that would be unfair to ignore.
On the other hand, a bitter reality is that Pakistan today is under severe economic pressure. Rising debt, declining foreign exchange reserves, and repeated visits to the IMF raise the question of whether we truly derived full benefit from CPEC and BRI. We did build infrastructure, but failed to establish an effective system to generate income from it.
At the international level, BRI faces criticism that China traps developing countries in debt by extending heavy loans, leading them into economic dependence. Similar concerns are expressed about Pakistan. However, the reality is that debt itself is not the core problem; the real issues are national planning, transparency, and governmental priorities. If exports, industrial growth, and local investment are not promoted alongside infrastructure development, no project-no matter how large-can succeed.
Pakistan’s misfortune has also been that CPEC became a victim of political slogans and point-scoring. One government initiated projects, while the next slowed them down. As a result, special economic zones-potential sources of employment and exports-are still not fully operational. Had these zones been activated on time, Pakistan might not be facing today’s harsh IMF programs.
Even now, BRI and CPEC can still become an opportunity for Pakistan, provided we correct our direction. We must expand our relationship with China beyond loans and projects to include technology transfer, development of local industry, and training of human resources. If Pakistani youth become skilled, this corridor will not remain just a road, but will turn into a pathway to development.
It is also a fact that global powers view CPEC and BRI with suspicion, as these initiatives increase China’s influence in the region. However, Pakistan must prioritize its own national interest rather than becoming part of any global power’s narrative. Neither blind opposition nor blind support will serve us well; instead, a balanced and prudent strategy is required.
BRI and CPEC are neither complete saviors for Pakistan nor necessarily a debt trap. Everything depends on how we utilize these opportunities. If decisions are made with transparency, continuity, and national consensus, these projects can lead Pakistan toward economic sovereignty. Otherwise, infrastructure may exist, but the economy will remain weak.
The need of the hour is for Pakistan to make wise and realistic decisions so that BRI truly becomes a path to development for us, rather than yet another burden.