Following the failure of US-Iran negotiations held in Islamabad, clouds of war are once again looming over the Middle East, to increasing pressure on Iran, United States Navy has blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, preventing ships from any country from entering or leaving Iranian ports. Israel has supported the US blockade, while NATO has opposed it, refusing to become part of the conflict or support the United States. In response, Iran has rejected US threats, warning that if Iranian ports are blockaded, no port in the Gulf will remain usable further escalating concerns. The current situation emerged after US-Iran negotiations ended without an agreement. US Vice President J.D. Vance returned home stating that talks failed because Iran did not guarantee halting its nuclear program or reopening the Strait of Hormuz. However, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi claimed that both sides were close to a historic agreement, but the US hardened its demands at the last moment, causing the breakdown.
Pakistan’s mediation had created hope for a breakthrough, however the failure of talks has disappointed Pakistan, while Israel and some Gulf states may be pleased, as they were not in favor of the negotiations. Iran appears to have sought prolonging the talks, a strategy it has followed before, often unsuccessfully. Previously, US had launched attacks when negotiations dragged on, and this time too, it was unwilling to extend discussions, particularly on uranium enrichment and the Strait of Hormuz. Had Iran shown flexibility, the US might have reciprocated, but Iran remained firm on its positions.
The United States, which faced global and domestic criticism after attacking Iran, now has an opportunity to claim it attempted diplomacy by sending its Vice President to Pakistan. This provides it with some face-saving, after which it has begun pursuing its primary objectives. As previously noted, after Venezuela, US aims to pressure China economically by cutting off Iranian oil supplies to China making the blockade part of a broader strategy. A similar naval blockade was imposed on Venezuela before gaining control over its oil reserves. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and former President Donald Trump’s warning that Iran will not be allowed to sell oil globally are part of this plan. While this will impact the global economy, China will be the most affected. On the other hand, Iran has clearly stated that if its shipping is blocked, it will make maritime traffic to Gulf ports impossible. This could push oil prices up to $150 per barrel, benefiting United States the most.
The US-Iran negotiations were not only a turning point in Middle Eastern politics but also signaled a potential reshaping of global power dynamics. In this context, Pakistan’s diplomacy once again gained global attention, reflecting its evolving foreign policy and balanced approach. Pakistan played a responsible and active diplomatic role in this complex situation. It maintained relations with both the US and Iran while working behind the scenes to reduce tensions. Maintaining such a delicate balance is not easy, yet Pakistan demonstrated notable diplomatic skill. Pakistan has consistently advocated resolving conflicts through dialogue rather than force, and this principle was evident in these negotiations.
Although the talks did not result in a final agreement largely due to mutual distrust between the US and Iran Pakistan’s mediation enhanced its global standing and established it as a credible and reliable nation. It helped avert a major war front and facilitated direct dialogue between the two sides, even leading to a temporary ceasefire. It will be a positive development that a two-week ceasefire is being observed. Iran should return to the negotiating table without delay and show flexibility to avoid further devastation.
Pakistan’s diplomatic efforts have elevated its int’l stature and reinforced its image as a responsible state. It has emerged as an effective bridge between the Muslim world and the global community. Credit for this achievement goes to Pakistan’s political and military leadership, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, Field Marshal Asim Munir, Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, and who deserve appreciation for their roles.
